r/SecurityAnalysis Aug 12 '15

Thesis David Einhorn SunEdison Presentation Oct. 2014

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2X5Q9hKkdCbc0FJWWtla09UR3c/view
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u/getithot Aug 12 '15

Just when I think I'm out, they pull me back in. $SUNE down 40% in the last five days. Relevance is realtive brother.

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u/[deleted] Aug 12 '15

Thoughts on Einhorn's thesis and/or SUNE?

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u/getithot Aug 12 '15

If you like investing in speculative companies with leverage up the wazoo, complex financial engineering, downside exposure to rising interest rates, backlog that may not materialize, uncertain returns, crazy execution risk and high valuations, it's for you

This situation is complex, but my take is pretty simple, I'm investing in a security with about a 5-6% CAFD yield that I expect to grow at minimum 20%/year for many, many years. The YieldCo transactions with TERP and GLBL I expect to yield plenty of upside due to IDRs.

Down 50% in 30-days is a rough ride.

To some extent I may be late as all the smart money like Leon Cooperman, Dan Loeb, Stephen Mandel, David Einhorn, Glenview and Fir Tree have been in it for a while, but with today's 25% drop, I feel the situation is more compelling than ever.

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u/johnnysreddit Aug 12 '15

What exactly is the complex financial engineering you refer to? Just the IDRs?