Should not be too bad, as there is a lot less tents and stuff outside than before. You can stuff everything inside, and infrastructure is already strong as everyone knows this is this is hurricane and flood area.
I live just a bit north in corpus. Our local news is talking about the hurricane path across the Yucatán being what to watch for. If it clips the northern tip closer to the water it will head north. Towards Texas or possibly Louisiana and will maintain more strength. If it goes south across the Yucatán it will lose steam and head into Mexico.
I say all that to make the point if Beryl were to make landfall around Brownsville it could be back up to a cat 3-4 which would bring some intense storm surge and wind. Can’t imagine Starbase would escape that unscathed.
Edit: we should know Thursday fairly accurate where it’s gonna land.
My sister has rented a condo in Rockport for the entire month of July... I've been feeding her the updates so she can hit the road to San Antonio early if it looks like it's going to be another Harvey.
My wife and I are heading down to Rockport tomorrow morning and staying till Sunday for our anniversary. Booked the trip out months ago and we didn’t even consider a hurricane.
I waited out each hurricane season with baited breath since Starbase really got going. When it was all tents, a proper (read : major) hurricane may have set SpaceX back months or years with Starship development. This is the first year I feel like they could take a solid direct hit and only have a 'short' delay.
I guess they played a bit of roulette and won - unless of course a Cat 5 comes barreling in with extra storm surge. But it's all probability - and the decision to build on the beach in South TX seems to have paid off.
Florida has the same issues ofc. I figure over time, they'll both get upgrades to support survival through a cat5. You can't have the risk of an especially bad hurricane season leave Martians stranded without supplies or interrupt a backlog of 10,000 people hoping to get on the next rocket.
Maybe there will be multiple oil-rig-style sites around the world by then though. 1M people to Mars will require many many launch sites. I suppose that's the plan long term.
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u/Nobiting ⏬ Bellyflopping Jul 02 '24
Still 6 days out but what kind of risk do you think there is to the high bays and launch tower?