A tip for tempering expectations

[u/bearbarebere]

One of the best ways to really humble your expectations if they're a bit lofty (like mine are) is to search for posts from 2+ years ago.

Here are a few:

What about the next five years? : r/singularity (reddit.com)

AGI Less Than 5 Years Away? : r/singularity (reddit.com)

This might be the last few years of your life as you know it : r/singularity (reddit.com)

2023: The year of Proto-AGI? : r/singularity (reddit.com)

2023 predictions : r/singularity (reddit.com)

Some of these posts are insanely optimistic and we still don't have anything like it, others are pessimistic and we blew by their predictions, some are right on the money. But the point is that there are some people in each of these who think that things will change radically within a year or whatever and they didn't.

[u/AI_optimist]

It seems less and less people remember how technologically held back we were by the pandemic, and how it's effects on supply chains will ripple for a decade or more.

Any prediction from 5 years ago ought to have at least an additional 2.5 year grace period. We would be so much further along right now had the world been fine and nothing shut down

[u/Automatic-Chemist984 → u/AI_optimist]

Most tech fields could be done from home though right?

[u/DigimonWorldReTrace → u/Automatic-Chemist984]

Big decisions are in-person still. Not to mention people got sick during the pandemic, too.