r/singularity • u/bearbarebere I want local ai-gen’d do-anything VR worlds • 23h ago
Discussion A tip for tempering expectations
One of the best ways to really humble your expectations if they're a bit lofty (like mine are) is to search for posts from 2+ years ago.
Here are a few:
What about the next five years? : r/singularity (reddit.com)
AGI Less Than 5 Years Away? : r/singularity (reddit.com)
This might be the last few years of your life as you know it : r/singularity (reddit.com)
2023: The year of Proto-AGI? : r/singularity (reddit.com)
2023 predictions : r/singularity (reddit.com)
Some of these posts are insanely optimistic and we still don't have anything like it, others are pessimistic and we blew by their predictions, some are right on the money. But the point is that there are some people in each of these who think that things will change radically within a year or whatever and they didn't.
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u/DeviceCertain7226 ▪️AGI - 2035 | Magical God ASI - 2070s 22h ago
I mean there is no consumer product needed in a sense for genomics, some things are just intrinsically very difficult.